Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.222785 0.257300 0.295200 0.339879 0.391087 0.447920 0.515763
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.175904 0.222611 0.278516 0.350257 0.439783 0.547729 0.687694
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.142946 0.196672 0.266231 0.362636 0.492538 0.661257 0.896802
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.113787 0.169232 0.246448 0.361365 0.527551 0.758611 1.103704
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.091610 0.146507 0.228318 0.358372 0.559108 0.856207 1.328171
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.075189 0.128670 0.213556 0.357005 0.592136 0.960730 1.580337
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.062981 0.114821 0.202082 0.358166 0.628654 1.075756 1.867466
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.054511 0.105428 0.195956 0.366653 0.678097 1.218676 2.222808
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.046187 0.094509 0.185012 0.364421 0.708098 1.332743 2.546406
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.040748 0.087896 0.180594 0.373122 0.758978 1.490817 2.973042
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.034806 0.079014 0.170114 0.368019 0.782273 1.600746 3.325627
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030877 0.073552 0.165456 0.373700 0.827668 1.759429 3.796997
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026148 0.065433 0.153940 0.363293 0.838922 1.853597 4.157081
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023781 0.062317 0.152864 0.375782 0.902027 2.065571 4.799955
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021805 0.059737 0.152555 0.390017 0.971601 2.302276 5.534445
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019239 0.055100 0.146464 0.389310 1.006164 2.466129 6.129888
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016939 0.050661 0.140020 0.386530 1.035228 2.621690 6.730326
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015033 0.046892 0.134587 0.385350 1.068120 2.791359 7.391310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013486 0.043813 0.130420 0.386795 1.108119 2.984581 8.140951
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012406 0.041906 0.129152 0.396072 1.170825 3.244902 9.102914
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011077 0.038907 0.124164 0.393756 1.201018 3.424857 9.880052
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010249 0.037355 0.123194 0.403195 1.266522 3.709483 10.984717
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009118 0.034509 0.117689 0.397734 1.287250 3.873743 11.778841